Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002182 0.002304 0.002433 0.002581 0.002745 0.002924 0.003136
2025-02-16 0.001991 0.002158 0.002345 0.002570 0.002838 0.003152 0.003555
2025-02-23 0.001893 0.002095 0.002329 0.002626 0.003000 0.003468 0.004122
2025-03-02 0.001778 0.001996 0.002256 0.002596 0.003044 0.003636 0.004523
2025-03-09 0.001674 0.001899 0.002173 0.002541 0.003043 0.003735 0.004840
2025-03-16 0.001631 0.001872 0.002172 0.002588 0.003176 0.004035 0.005521
2025-03-23 0.001589 0.001842 0.002163 0.002620 0.003292 0.004322 0.006261
2025-03-30 0.001530 0.001786 0.002116 0.002594 0.003315 0.004466 0.006781
2025-04-06 0.001463 0.001716 0.002045 0.002527 0.003269 0.004486 0.007060
2025-04-13 0.001416 0.001669 0.002002 0.002498 0.003277 0.004599 0.007572
2025-04-20 0.001340 0.001581 0.001899 0.002374 0.003122 0.004400 0.007311
2025-04-27 0.001310 0.001554 0.001878 0.002369 0.003161 0.004561 0.007977
2025-05-04 0.001295 0.001548 0.001888 0.002416 0.003295 0.004937 0.009442
2025-05-11 0.001268 0.001523 0.001871 0.002420 0.003357 0.005187 0.010750
2025-05-18 0.001257 0.001521 0.001887 0.002475 0.003517 0.005684 0.013448
2025-05-25 0.001225 0.001487 0.001853 0.002450 0.003526 0.005843 0.015027
2025-06-01 0.001188 0.001445 0.001808 0.002402 0.003486 0.005876 0.016065
2025-06-08 0.001177 0.001441 0.001816 0.002443 0.003624 0.006394 0.021055
2025-06-15 0.001165 0.001432 0.001818 0.002473 0.003742 0.006902 0.028387
2025-06-22 0.001139 0.001405 0.001790 0.002449 0.003747 0.007087 0.033943
2025-06-29 0.001107 0.001366 0.001742 0.002389 0.003669 0.007004 0.035656
2025-07-06 0.001084 0.001340 0.001715 0.002363 0.003662 0.007145 0.042779
2025-07-13 0.001041 0.001285 0.001640 0.002250 0.003460 0.006620 0.034296